The following are today’s upgrades for Validea’s Contrarian Investor model based on the published strategy of David Dreman. This contrarian strategy finds the most unpopular mid- and large-cap stocks in the market and looks for improving fundamentals.
DILLARD’S, INC. (DDS) is a mid-cap value stock in the Retail (Department & Discount) industry. The rating according to our strategy based on David Dreman changed from 69% to 76% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: Dillard’s, Inc. is a retailer of fashion apparel, cosmetics and home furnishings. The Company operates through two segments: the operation of retail department stores and a general contracting construction company. It operates approximately 280 Dillard’s stores, including 30 clearance centers, and an Internet store offering a selection of merchandise including fashion apparel for women, men and children, accessories, cosmetics, home furnishings and other consumer goods. The Company also operates a general contracting construction company, CDI Contractors, LLC (CDI), whose business includes constructing and remodeling stores for the Company. The Company’s merchandise selections include its lines of exclusive brand merchandise, such as Antonio Melani, Gianni Bini, GB, Roundtree & Yorke and Daniel Cremieux. Its retail stores are located primarily in shopping malls and open-air centers throughout the Southwest, Southeast and Midwest regions of the United States.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| MARKET CAP: | PASS |
| EARNINGS TREND: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH RATE IN THE IMMEDIATE PAST AND FUTURE: | FAIL |
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| PRICE/CASH FLOW (P/CF) RATIO: | PASS |
| PRICE/BOOK (P/B) VALUE: | FAIL |
| PRICE/DIVIDEND (P/D) RATIO: | FAIL |
| CURRENT RATIO: | PASS |
| PAYOUT RATIO: | FAIL |
| RETURN ON EQUITY: | PASS |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT MARGINS: | PASS |
| YIELD: | FAIL |
| LOOK AT THE TOTAL DEBT/EQUITY: | PASS |
Detailed Analysis of DILLARD’S, INC.
AMERICAN EQUITY INVESTMENT LIFE HOLDING (AEL) is a mid-cap value stock in the Insurance (Life) industry. The rating according to our strategy based on David Dreman changed from 63% to 77% based on the firm’s underlying fundamentals and the stock’s valuation. A score of 80% or above typically indicates that the strategy has some interest in the stock and a score above 90% typically indicates strong interest.
Company Description: American Equity Investment Life Holding Company is engaged in the development and sale of fixed index and fixed rate annuity products. The Company issues fixed annuity products through its life insurance subsidiaries, American Equity Investment Life Insurance Company (American Equity Life), American Equity Investment Life Insurance Company of New York (American Equity Life of New York) and Eagle Life Insurance Company (Eagle Life). Its product types include fixed index annuities, annual reset fixed rate annuities, multi-year fixed-rate annuities and single premium immediate annuities. The Company markets its products through a variable cost distribution network, including independent agents through independent marketing organizations (IMOs), broker/dealers, banks and registered investment advisors. Its financing receivables consist of three mortgage loan portfolio segments: commercial mortgage loans, agricultural mortgage loans and residential mortgage loans.
The following table summarizes whether the stock meets each of this strategy’s tests. Not all criteria in the below table receive equal weighting or are independent, but the table provides a brief overview of the strong and weak points of the security in the context of the strategy’s criteria.
| MARKET CAP: | PASS |
| EARNINGS TREND: | PASS |
| EPS GROWTH RATE IN THE IMMEDIATE PAST AND FUTURE: | FAIL |
| P/E RATIO: | PASS |
| PRICE/CASH FLOW (P/CF) RATIO: | PASS |
| PRICE/BOOK (P/B) VALUE: | PASS |
| PRICE/DIVIDEND (P/D) RATIO: | FAIL |
| PAYOUT RATIO: | PASS |
| RETURN ON EQUITY: | FAIL |
| PRE-TAX PROFIT MARGINS: | PASS |
| YIELD: | FAIL |
Detailed Analysis of AMERICAN EQUITY INVESTMENT LIFE HOLDING
More details on Validea’s David Dreman strategy
About David Dreman: Dreman’s Kemper-Dreman High Return Fund was one of the best-performing mutual funds ever, ranking as the best of 255 funds in its peer groups from 1988 to 1998, according to Lipper Analytical Services. At the time Dreman published Contrarian Investment Strategies: The Next Generation, the fund had been ranked number one in more time periods than any of the 3,175 funds in Lipper’s database. In addition to managing money, Dreman is also a longtime Forbes magazine columnist.
About Validea: Validea is an investment research service that follows the published strategies of investment legends. Validea offers both stock analysis and model portfolios based on gurus who have outperformed the market over the long-term, including Warren Buffett, Benjamin Graham, Peter Lynch and Martin Zweig. For more information about Validea, click here
The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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